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Feb 20-23 Econ week in review podcast for investors

Last week was pretty quite, except for the CPI numbers that came out. The CPI came out higher than expected for January (we’re on track for high 2% inflation in 2007, not the Fed’s expected 2 to 2.25%) Everything else was pretty quite. Oil pushed over 60, unemployment claims were trending steady, and a few signals peaked [...]...

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[ Mon, 26 Feb 2007 05:28:18 +0000 ]



Feb 12-16 Economic Week in Review Podcast

The latest economic week in review podcast. Six minutes and 15 seconds of listening pleasure. The FOMC’s Chairman, Ben Bernanke suggested they are disinclined to raise interest rates. This buoyed market sentiment and the S&P 500 saw two days of double digit gains. Underlying economic data was not so rosy, though. Retails sales were flat in [...]...

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[ Mon, 19 Feb 2007 01:42:22 +0000 ]



Feb 5-9 Economic Week in Review Podcast

It was a relatively light week for economic news last week. Highlights include: Consumer credit increased less than expected in December. The ISM Non-Manufacturing index rose to 59 (from 56.7 in December). The services sector is showing greater strength than the Manufacturing index I spoke about last week. The earnings reports produced good numbers (Cisco, Disney, Prudential and [...]...

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[ Mon, 12 Feb 2007 00:07:55 +0000 ]



Jan 29 - Feb 2 Economic Week in Review Podcast

With a flurry of excitement and reasonably good economic news, I present to you the podcast: Download audio file (2007_1_29-2_2_econ_week_in_review_EconTechBlog.mp3) Click the play button to listen live above (if you’re viewing this from JAWspeak). It’s 6 minutes long. In brief, we saw rising numbers come out for Q4 GDP (3.5% annualized), the FOMC steady on interest rates, slowness [...]...

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[ Mon, 05 Feb 2007 06:50:48 +0000 ]



Jan 22-26 Economic Week in Review Podcast

January is almost over. We’re 7.1% through 2007 already. Time feels to be moving very quickly for me. Two opposing reports came out for December’s housing market. Orders for durable goods increased and an index of leading economic indicators inched up. The S&P 500 touched a six-year high on Wednesday but decreased 0.4% for the week [...]...

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[ Mon, 29 Jan 2007 02:20:39 +0000 ]



Jan 16-19 Economic Week in Review Podcast

Here’s the latest Economic Week in Review podcast. Inflation was not too bad in 2006. Thanks for listening. The PPI rose only 1.1% in 2006. Compare this to 5.4% for 2005 and 4.2% for 2004 The CPI rose 2.5% in 2006, compare to 3.3% and 3.4% in ‘04 and ‘05 Industrial production grew 0.4% in December, after [...]...

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[ Mon, 22 Jan 2007 02:17:06 +0000 ]



Jan 9-12, 2007 Economic Week in Review Podcast - I’m back!

After an extended absence I have returned! What happened last week on the economics front? Oh, funny you should ask, I’ve got just the answer! We had mixed economic news: November saw a $12.3 billion increase in U.S. consumer credit (largest since Aug. 2006) December retail sales were unexpectedly strong, increasing 0.9% Manufacturers and wholesalers saw business inventories [...]...

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[ Mon, 15 Jan 2007 01:39:15 +0000 ]



Dec. 4-8 Economic Week in Review Podcast

We saw a fall in factory orders last week. Automotive and housing industries continued their struggles. Q3 nonfarm business productivity was revised upwards (from 0.0% to 0.2%, annualized). Q3 unit labor costs growth was revised down (3.8% to 2.4%). October’s factory orders fell 4.7% — the sharpest drop in over 6 years. November’s ISM Non-Manufacturing index rose 1.8 points [...]...

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[ Mon, 11 Dec 2006 04:19:08 +0000 ]



Nov 27-Dec 1 Economic Week in Review Podcast

Activity picked up a bit last week after the prior holiday week. The Q3 GDP growth showed stronger-than-expected growth. The “preliminary” reading came out and indicated a 2.2% annualized Q3 growth rate. The Fed’s Beige Book indicated moderate economic growth since the last report in mid-October. All districts were much more positive than analysts expected. Softness [...]...

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[ Sun, 03 Dec 2006 23:09:50 +0000 ]



Nov. 20-24 Economic Week in Review Podcast

Last week the market was pretty flat, and economic reports were sparse. One that was released was: The Conference Board’s index of leading economic indicators rose 0.2% in October, following a 0.4% increase in September (revised upward from 0.1%). It was the first time the index achieved consecutive monthly gains in 2006. Six of the index’s [...]...

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[ Sun, 26 Nov 2006 23:47:40 +0000 ]



Nov. 13-17 Economic Week in Review Podcast

Good news last week on inflation: falling energy costs brought teh CPI down 0.5% in October. Gas prices have fallen, dropping retail sales, but factoring out fuel and auto sales they were up 0.3% October’s housing starts plunged and new residential construction was down 15% from last year in October. Permits for new housing (a key indicator [...]...

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[ Sun, 19 Nov 2006 05:21:46 +0000 ]



Nov 6-10 Economic Week in Review Podcast

The elections were the big news this week, although they did not significantly impact the market. Consumers showed a slowing use of credit Oil was down, which led to a lower trade deficit Initial jobless claims fell, more than expected, reflecting the surprisingly tight job market Listen live - right now - to the 7 minute podcast by clicking [...]...

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[ Sun, 12 Nov 2006 18:58:02 +0000 ]



Oct 30 - Nov 3 Economic Week in Review Podcast

For the week the S&P 500 was down 0.9%. This followed a streak of five consecutive weekly gains. Profit-taking and economic outlook concerns were likely drivers. Third Quarter productivity growth was reported at zero growth Oil prices ended the week little changed at $59 a barrel October’s nonfarm payroll employment increased 92,000 (below expectations, but followed upwardly revised [...]...

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[ Sat, 04 Nov 2006 06:33:45 +0000 ]



September 23-27, 2006 Economic Week in Review Podcast

This was a pretty good week for the markets. Looking at the underlying economic news isn’t as glamorous as trying to trade hot stocks, but I believe it will lead to long term better performance. Why do I create this podcast? In the long run it’s the economic fundamentals that drive market returns. I’m in [...]...

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[ Mon, 30 Oct 2006 04:34:33 +0000 ]



September 16-20 Economic Week in Review Podcast

Economic news was mixed. Oil fell and inflation worries subsided, yet economic indicators were not overly positive. September’s CPI fell 0.5% (for the first time ever this year) September’s PPI fell 1.4% (but posted 0.6% incline if food and energy are excluded) The September Conference Board index of leading economic indicators rose 0.1% in September (below estimates) September’s residential [...]...

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[ Mon, 23 Oct 2006 01:00:33 +0000 ]



Oct 9-13 Economic Week in Review Podcast

The Dow hit record highs as oil prices came close to record 2006 lows. The Fed released their Beige Book, which hinted at less worries for inflation. August’s U.S. trade deficit increased to a record $69.9 billion from July’s revised $68.0 billion The U.S. goods deficit with China increased to $22.0 billion (31% of the trade deficit) August’s [...]...

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[ Sun, 15 Oct 2006 23:58:34 +0000 ]



October 2-6 Economic Week in Review Podcast

The Dow closed at all time record high Thursday with generally upbeat comments by Fed Chairman Bernanke on Wednesday to the Economic Club of Washington. September showed substantially slower job growth than expected, yet the Labor Department reported that the unemployment rate was “essentially unchanged.” September’s ISM indexes of manufacturing and services activity both were at 52.9 [...]...

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[ Sat, 07 Oct 2006 16:41:20 +0000 ]



Sept 25-29 Economic Week in Review Podcast

The Dow Jones hit an all time high this week, despite mostly downbeat economic news. August housing data was gloomy with existing home sales dropping 0.5% to 6.3 million units annualized. Also the median price of an existing single-family home declined for the first time since 1993, falling 1.7% to $227,000. August’s new home sales did rise [...]...

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[ Mon, 02 Oct 2006 04:03:28 +0000 ]



Sept 18-22 Economic Week in Review Podcast

Big news this week was the Fed’s decision to not change short-term interest rates, held at 5.25%. More housing slowdown was reported: August housing starts dropped 6% to a three-year low.  Equally stunning was a 0.4% drop in the August core PPI.  These numbers had a mixed influence on the stock market, but both were [...]...

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[ Sat, 23 Sep 2006 06:30:47 +0000 ]



Sept 11-15 Economic Week in Review Podcast

Big news this week was August’s CPI numbers. Other economic news was mixed: August’s CPI showed prices rose 0.2% for consumers July’s trade deficit in goods and services rose more than expected-up 5% to 68 billion August’s retail sales showed a surprise 0.2% gain July’s business inventories rose 0.6%, as per expectations August’s industrial production fell 0.1%, a 0.2% increase [...]...

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[ Sat, 16 Sep 2006 16:25:56 +0000 ]



Sept 4-8 Econ Week in Review

Last week was short due to the Monday US Holiday. Some inflation concerns did surface. Q1 and Q2 unit labor costs were revised upwards (much higher than expected) Q2 productivity growth was steady The Fed’s Beige Book showed continued economic expansion from mid-July through late August August’s ISM Non-Manufacturing Index rose to 57.0, indicating continued services expansion July’s consumer credit [...]...

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[ Mon, 11 Sep 2006 05:10:28 +0000 ]



Aug 28 - Sept 1 Economic Week in Review

The economy may be able to manage a “soft landing” after all. Despite another gloomy week for housing data, other signs of the economy (labor market and manufacturing) are healthy. A soft landing is the “avoidance of both inflation and high interest rates as well as a recession as an economy slows its growth rate.” For [...]...

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[ Sat, 02 Sep 2006 21:33:47 +0000 ]



Aug 21-25 Economic Week in Review

Last week the housing market continued showing signs of a slump. For the week, the S&P 500 Index fell 0.6% to 1,295 and the yield of the 10-year U.S. Treasury note fell 5 basis points to 4.78%. July existing home sales fell for the fourth straight month, dropping 4.1%. (Economists only expected a 0.9% decline). July new [...]...

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[ Sun, 27 Aug 2006 23:56:53 +0000 ]



Aug 14-18 Economic Week in Review

The market rallied last week on generally benign reports and falling oil prices. For the week the S&P 500 rose 2.8%, to 1,302 July’s PPI showed an increase for 0.1% (on an expected 0.4% - this is good new, however intermediate and crude producer goods’ prices have risen. Higher prices may be on the way. July industrial production [...]...

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[ Sun, 20 Aug 2006 22:56:14 +0000 ]



Aug 7-11 Econ Week in Review

Last weeks’ highlight was the Federal Reserve Board’s decision to keep the target federal funds rate unchanged at 5.25%. This is the first time rates did not rise since Spring of 2004. Other news includes: July retail sales posted a surprisingly high 1.4% gain June business inventories rose, as did that month’s inventory/sales ratio 2Q 2006 business productivity [...]...

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[ Sat, 12 Aug 2006 19:36:10 +0000 ]



July 31-Aug4 Econ Week in Review

Economic data was mixed this week: Personal income and wages increased. Employment numbers showed weakness. For the week the S&P 500 decreased 0.1% to 1,270. Construction spending in June rose 0.3% from May (driven from private nonresidential construction). Signs indicate the housing market is cooling, as private residential construction fell 1.0%). However, total construction spending for the first half of [...]...

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[ Mon, 07 Aug 2006 02:19:22 +0000 ]



July 22-28 Economic Week in Review

The Q2 GDP estimate came out weaker than expected (up 2.5% vs. 3.2%) The Fed’s Beige Book showed economic expansion in all districts (but many were at a slower pace of growth) Existing and new home sales were down Labor costs were up Consumer confidence rose New orders for durable goods grew faster than expected For the week, the S&P 500 [...]...

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[ Sun, 30 Jul 2006 17:23:18 +0000 ]



July 17-21 Economic Week in Review

This was a busy week, with eight important reports coming out. And they contained mixed news: Industrial Production was up a beefy 0.8% in June, exceeding expectations. Measuring inflation, the PPI rose 0.5% in June. The gain was largly driven by higher prices for food and energy (the core PPI rose 0.2% as expected). Another measure of inflation, [...]...

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[ Sat, 22 Jul 2006 05:03:37 +0000 ]



July 10-14 Economic Week in Review

Economic news was slim last week, however it was similiar to the slowing economy news of recent weeks. American’s consumer credit went up in May, partly driven by revolving debt Energy prices boosted the trade deficit Business inventories were up more than expected June’s retail sales fell For the week, the S&P 500 fell 2.3% to 1,236 The yield of 10-year [...]...

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[ Sun, 16 Jul 2006 18:30:05 +0000 ]



July 3-7 Economic Week in Review

Quick one this week, under 5 minutes. There was quite a bit of economic news last week, including the following:Construction spending dropped in May from a downwardly revised April estimate.ISM Index fell slightly to 53.8, the lowest since August 2005. Levels over 50 indicate expansion of the manufacturing economy.Factory orders rose more than expected, by [...]...

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[ Mon, 10 Jul 2006 03:45:15 +0000 ]


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